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Messages - BuddyJ

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Greece?  Snowstorm? -14C?

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60129827

Greece Snowstorm: Thousands of drivers left stranded as storm hits Athens

RE

Sounds like global collapse alright. Either that or because of a lack of real global collapse, the best we can do is a snowstorm. In winter. That some unprepared drivers got stuck in. Yup.....sheer global collapse terror for sure.

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General Discussion / Re: Environment & Pollution Errata
« on: January 22, 2022, 03:16:25 pm »
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.aljazeera.com/amp/economy/2021/4/22/namibia-indigenous-leaders-want-big-oil-out-of-kavango-basin

Let's really read it, right through, before opining anything.

Seemed like a reasonable article. Always have to question that source, and there is undoubtedly some confusion involved with folks still using words like "conventional" and "unconventional", but those are standard problems among the amateurs at large and reporters as well.

3
General Discussion / Re: The Stock Market Crash Is Likely Only Beginning
« on: January 22, 2022, 10:47:09 am »
Look out below!

The Stock Market Crash Is Likely Only Beginning

RE I know Eddie

The crash of 2008 was the greatest equity investment opportunity in a generation. Can we really have TWO such opportunities in ONE generation? Lets hear it for maybe having another!!  I know Eddie has some powder dry, and I certainly began prepping for this crash more than a year ago. Sure...lost some of the upside, but the possibility of another crash? Priceless!

4
Looks like Crypto is losing its luster.  Another wilting Tulip.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/01/22/investing/bitcoin-ethereum-cryptocurrency-price-record-high/index.html

Bitcoin value tumbles almost 50% since record November

RE

Hope Roamer got out clean.

5
General Discussion / Re: Environment & Pollution Errata
« on: January 22, 2022, 10:35:43 am »
Your unvalidated experience in courtrooms and my unvalidated experience is irrelevant.

RE

In other words, you've got none, and don't want to get into another round of it turning out that when I say something, like mentioning my scientific career, and you then validating it, that I might do the same with my experience in courtrooms, and demonstrate yet again that I really do the tell the truth, as much as it irritates you?

As you well know, Appeal to Authority is not a valid argument, besides which the assumption you make isn't true either.

I didn't appeal to authority, I stated a fact, and YOU validated it in your tracking of my person and finding out my professional background, and began passing around my work to the moderators at the Diner so that everyone could see for themselves my qualifications.
 
That is all true, and you were involved, participated in it, and yourself proclaimed the great discovery right there on the Diner. College I went to, pictures of me, Dave was calling me by name every chance he got.

I simply refer to history. And the facts as stated by you, and Dave, and those articles you passed around, and how you claimed you tracked and found me.

Quote from: RE
Nobody here cares if you think you are an expert on something.

Doesn't matter what I think. Isn't world renowned a little farther up the food chain than just run of the mill expert?

Quote from: RE
We're all experts on something.  We all just argue our opinion and post up stiff that backs up those opinions.
RE

Well, I'll give you that we all say stuff. And most of that stuff is certainly opinion. And just like the opinion at a cocktail party, has no requirement to be correct, factual or realistic. Certainly COULD be all of those things as well, but is that what we do at cocktail parties, stick with the dry and professional dick measuring, as opposed to opinions of a more interesting nature, to go with the booze? Not sure any level of expertise on any topic has anything to do with it.

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General Discussion / Re: Environment & Pollution Errata
« on: January 21, 2022, 03:53:52 pm »
Your unvalidated experience in courtrooms and my unvalidated experience is irrelevant.

RE

In other words, you've got none, and don't want to get into another round of it turning out that when I say something, like mentioning my scientific career, and you then validating it, that I might do the same with my experience in courtrooms, and demonstrate yet again that I really do the tell the truth, as much as it irritates you?


7
General Discussion / Re: Environment & Pollution Errata
« on: January 21, 2022, 03:01:16 pm »
All opinions are opinions. When it comes to professionals offering different ones in court, there are rules for sorting out those that might be compromised.

Now you have switched from science to the legal profession, and lawyers pitch even more bullshyt than scientists.

I've never claimed to be a lawyer, although I have experience dealing with them, testifying on behalf of a company, running science teams for civil lawsuits,  purchasing companies during acquisitions, and so on and so forth.

What is your level of participation in offering up opinions in either civil or criminal courts and how was determined to be of value or not?

Quote from: RE
You can even bullshyt math, particularly statistics, but other areas also.

I can bullshyt far more than that, but I'm not paid to bullshyt. I do that for free online. I'm paid to know more of the topic at hand than other folks, with no conflicts of interest. Which is why your Upton Sinclair comment doesn't work on me. If it did, I wouldn't be one of those national treasure types.  ;)

Quote from: RE
In the old days we used to have blackboard contests to write outrageous proofs, particularly in economics.  Or make time go backwards or gravity go up.  For me, I just apply my own metric of CFS.  I can usually navigate thru the bullshyt this way. 

RE                                                                                                     

And when you tried this out in a courtroom in went over well did it?

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General Discussion / Re: Environment & Pollution Errata
« on: January 20, 2022, 08:06:28 pm »
All opinions are compromised.

RE

All opinions are opinions. When it comes to professionals offering different ones in court, there are rules for sorting out those that might be compromised. Who pays your salary being a completely reasonable one. Conflicts of interest based on your investments, prior work and clients, you can figure out the list as well as those of us who have been through the process.

Because of the way the oil and gas industry pays it's people, with compensation beyond just a paycheck, it is difficult to find the uncompromised in that industry outside of academia. Not impossible, just more difficult than others. And when you use the usual academics, you get academic knowledge. Not field and operational experience, management and legal experience all generated from the doing of a thing, rather than the "I read many books on the topic" type experience. "I built a model".

So...opinions are opinions....but some are certainly more qualified than others. And through luck and happenstance, completely free of the influence you would prefer a dissenting one involve.


9
Those darn scientists.  Maybe they actually know something.
RE

We always have. But morons wouldn't listen to us about peak oil, why would we expect them to listen to us about anything else?

They don't listen to us due to the Upton Sinclari Rule:

Saying it....again....doesn't make it so. Never has, and I've even explained why in the past. Any reason you completely avoid the idea that some of us are required to be as independent as possible, including via salary, in order to be beyond reproach? Does the idea that such a thing can even exist bother you for some reason?

Or are you claiming that you yourself have been compromised when delivering your professional opinion? Or because of who paid your salary?

10
Those darn scientists.  Maybe they actually know something.
RE

We always have. But morons wouldn't listen to us about peak oil, why would we expect them to listen to us about anything else?

11
General Discussion / Re: STILL no Newz from Tonga
« on: January 17, 2022, 02:51:19 pm »
Is there anybody left?
RE

I am finding the total dearth of information from Tonga to be pretty worrisome.  Does NOBODY on the island have a shortwave radio?  Not even the government?  No Yahties?  NOBODY has a satelite phone or dish uplink?  We're talking more than 100K of people.

OK.  What do we know?

A Tsunami hit, not a huge one only about 4', but there is almost no "high ground" on those islands, they are as flat as pancakes.  Most people live quite near the shore.

HUGE ASH plume, the sat videos are amazing.  That ash gotta come down.

So, there is likely no drinkable water, the air close to unbreathable, muck everywhere, no electricity...

The NZ Kiwi Navy is still probably a day or 2 away moving at top speed.

It's not a good situation.

RE

More googling can often cure random bouts of Doomer-hysteria. Or deliberate ignorance because hey, when you see the boogie man in your home you are either a child or...you know.....don't know anything about circuit breakers?

Australia’s minister for the Pacific, Zed Seselja, says initial reports suggest no mass casualties in Tonga following the eruption of a volcano that triggered a tsunami, but Australian police have visited beaches with significant damage and “houses thrown around”.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/17/australian-minister-says-tonga-suffered-significant-damage-following-volcano-eruption

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General Discussion / Re: K-Dog & The Collapse Cliques
« on: December 29, 2021, 01:40:20 pm »
Anyone here remember Silent Country? End of the Oil Age? LATOC the original? Or LATOC II that followed? Dennis from Oregon and the one he fired up? Powerswitch? The Wolf At The Door? Llamados? There have been so many peak oil doomer clubs I can't even remember all their names nowadays. Most imploded after peak oil #4 of this century, never even made it to #5.

Watching all of it unfold has been utterly fascinating, even if the wife thinks it is the weirdest hobby she's ever heard of.

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General Discussion / Re: The Dimming Bulb 2
« on: December 28, 2021, 02:19:31 pm »
If you go back to the Olduvai Hypothesis, you can see the Blackout progression predicted back in the 90s.



According to Duncan, we went off the cliff nearly a decade ago. Discredited theories are...you know...discredited by time and definition of the author themselves in this case.

Even more amusingly in this case, the Diner came alive in the midst of the collapse of civilization, and died before any of the said collapse has even managed to cause a population drop, or lack of ice, let alone disturb the rich, stop colleges from educating, or keep everyone here alive and mostly well that entire time.

Quote from: RE
We are more or less on track here as the Bulb dims.

Except for the ice, population growth, Duncan couldn't use his idea to predict for dick, and the only thing that collapsed during the invisible collapse he claimed was the Diner. And SUN.


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