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41
General Discussion / Re: Energy Errata
« Last post by K-Dog on March 27, 2023, 11:33:16 pm »
Quote
Might seem interesting after a busy 80 hour a week professional career as a calming influence or something, an appreciation of the slow and mind numbing, but being raised in that environment and never wanting to go back strikes me as occurring more often.

I totally agree.



Not what it is **** up to be.

Oh for Pete's sake, 'c-r-a-c-k-e-d up to be' is blocked.

Enough of this **** ****.  Profanity is allowed at the new digs.



42
General Discussion / Re: Energy Errata
« Last post by FarmGirl on March 27, 2023, 05:46:05 pm »
Quote
Those raised on a farm know exactly how liberating it is. Or not.

The once common upbringing.

I have been looking at old magazine archives.  Pulp fiction and stuff.  In the roaring twenties young men and women wanted to eat drink and be merry in rebellion against life on the farm.  Move to the big city was their thing, break with the past.  Not a generation to say no to oil.

Understanding these things helps to understand how we got where we are.  Their rebellion polluted generations to come.

Was it really about "polluting"? Atfer WWII could Americans really be expected just to go back to walking behind a plow horse and happily trying to scratch a living from the dirt like their parents had?

The idea of getting back to the land seems a bit romanticized by the doomers, don't you think? There are first the ones who can, and to some extent have built a life in the non-agrarian world first, and then carry their cash with them to make a rural lifestyle possible. Includes folks getting paid for online activities, which can make a somewhat romanticized version of what normal "living on the farm" possible. And then there are folks who mean it, do it well, and choose to live that life. As opposed to those of us raised there, and know absolutely that we want nothing more to do with it. And why. Certainly it wasn't because we just wanted to eat drink and be merry. More like get the hell away from mind numbing drudgery with no end. Might seem interesting after a busy 80 hour a week professional career as a calming influence or something, an appreciation of the slow and mind numbing, but being raised in that environment and never wanting to go back strikes me as occurring more often.

43
General Discussion / Re: Energy Errata
« Last post by K-Dog on March 27, 2023, 11:53:29 am »
Quote
Those raised on a farm know exactly how liberating it is. Or not.

The once common upbringing.

I have been looking at old magazine archives.  Pulp fiction and stuff.  In the roaring twenties young men and women wanted to eat drink and be merry in rebellion against life on the farm.  Move to the big city was their thing, break with the past.  Not a generation to say no to oil.

Understanding these things helps to understand how we got where we are.  Their rebellion polluted generations to come.

44
General Discussion / Re: Energy Errata
« Last post by FarmGirl on March 27, 2023, 07:21:34 am »
To you and Pharoah, Egypt before the famine, pestilence and plague was wonderful, no collapse. To Moses that was already hell and 40 yrs of back to basics nomadic herding and consolidating a strong society was a liberation. [/b]

My goodness, find anywhere I've ever said that my life is wonderful? Or that there is no collapse? Just because I define it strictly in order to not cheapen its meaning to be "gee the market was down 5% this quarter, whoa is me for my stock portfolio" doesn't make me the Pharoah any more than it does Moses. And I'll grant you that the modern day Amish certainly have a strong society and are liberated from many of the doomer concerns as to what happens next when a REAL collapse arrives.

Now go do a survey and see if you can figure out how many folks will willingly run to that lifestyle and call it "liberation". Those raised on a farm know exactly how liberating it is. Or not. Go lecture Elon about being unfamiliar with what was once a common American upbringing, back in the day, or advocating for that as the standard human condition. A real collapse will certainly attempt to drive the world in that direction, and "liberating" as a descriptor won't matter in the least to folks who just don't want to starve.
45
General Discussion / Re: Energy Errata
« Last post by FarmGirl on March 27, 2023, 07:11:37 am »
The spectrum of collapse.  I too have pondered exactly what is collapse.  Change and death are the way of the world.  A doomer has to wonder if they are a bit off.  Is it a problem that doom heads can't accept reality?

No, collapse is unwanted change and collapse is change which could be prevented. 

Well now, THIS is an interesting take on the definition. I like it. Collapse is unwanted change that could have been prevented.

How about we refine it, as it is a bit vague, for example, I don't like gaining weight, it could certainly have been prevented, but it is not collapse. It is just me getting fat.

"Collapse is a negative global change in overall human population that could have been prevented."

Nice refinement. It gets my vote.

Quote from: K-Dog
Not accepting the unwanted is a good thing!

Not accepting the unwanted is a perfectly normal human trait, I agree.

Quote from: K-Dog
Doom stalks society but only because people pretend doom is not there.  The denial habit.  If people deal with doom they prepare for the future. 

Doom stalks PEOPLE. It is called mortality. Of course we pretend it isn't there, and yup, it is the denial habit. If we accept our personal doom, we might prepare for the future, or we might decide to live while the living is good, knowing that none of us gets out of here alive, and THAT is the ultimate and unescapable doom. Whether it is wrapped up in a global reduction in population or we are hit by a bus is irrelevant, after we are dead do we really care about the HOW?

Quote from: K-Dog
We know people don't deal with doom or prepare for the future.  Preparing for the future cancels doom.  Not going to happen, but in theory doom could be prevented by rational actions.

Preparing for the future, eating right, exercising, not smoking or drinking does not cancel the one doom we all face, no way, no how. It just prolongs our duration playing the game. I'm not sure what doom theory is...the idea that projecting the underlying fear of our personal dooms onto society at large makes it easier to handle? So putting buckets of beans and rice in the garage relieves some of the stress that comes with our psychological wrestling with our mortality?

Quote from: K-Dog
Denial is a product of psychology and social pressure not to defy authority should make any sane person question their sanity.  It is hard to think you can keep dry in a rainstorm.  Even harder to actually do it.

Denial is also what we do when eating cake and candy and not exercising. Think about it, what happens when we finally confront the consequences of our actions, after taking care of ourselves poorly in search of a sugar high and gluttonous behavior? We go to the doctor and demand pills to cure us (renewables will save us!), we are told the damage is done because of our past behavior (you can't change CO2 levels fast enough to matter!), maybe you can add weeks or months to your life but no more (ditch fossil fuels and it might give your kids an extra year or three with luck before they burn/drown or die in resource wars or starve!).

Quote from: K-Dog
Control has great interest in maintaining denial and fighting doom.  Control wants to maintain existing arrangements and will cultivate denial of any other reality.

Substitute our biological and psychological needs as "control" and you betcha.

I forward the supposition as follows:

1) Smarter folks are more likely to suffer from an underlying understanding of their personal doom, and desire to handle it by projecting the natural consequences of life onto the planet or the species which makes it easier to discuss with others.
2) Smarter folks then find others to discuss these things with, occasionally even touching on the underlying issue, as opposed to making it a conspiracy among (fill in each of our favorites) and bringing our fears into the open with someone else to blame, keeping hidden from our own psyche (not really) the knowledge that even if we had been born Amish, we would still die. They have religious to calm them during their living years...doomers do not overall appear to be religiously oriented.
3)  Few actually make the link I am now supposing, anchored as they are in their present belief system. It is just easier for others to be involved and DOING this to us then accept the thing we truly fear, and deep down know we cannot escape, no matter how many buckets of beans we have in the basement, or gold bars stacked in the closet, or how clean a life we live in tune with nature.


46
General Discussion / Re: We are moving
« Last post by RE on March 27, 2023, 04:01:23 am »
The new spot has nice graphics also :)

RE
47
General Discussion / Re: Energy Errata
« Last post by Phil Potts on March 27, 2023, 01:17:37 am »
"Conspiracy" is the one word  ward-off to ignore facts.

That isn't how the word is defined.

It is defined as: "a secret plan by a group to do something unlawful or harmful". Conspiracy theory is something else altogether, defined as: a theory that explains an event or set of circumstances as the result of a secret plot by usually powerful conspirators

You'll notice warding off facts isn't included. I will admit that some might use it that way improperly though, during a sort of Gish Gallop routine.

you only wanted to know what word you were using as a one word ward off. It could just as easily be abracadabra or Rumpelstiltskin, so definition is irrelevant.

 YOU refer to "conspiracy" giving zero reasons or facts in support of why you may dismiss anything you label such. I gave YOU numerous examples of things dismissed as conspiracy by your govt being admitted to when the docs are declassified. I mentioned the obvious reasons most Americans now believe Oswald did not act alone and nobody went to the moon. YOU went right on using the single word "conspiracy" as though it is self evident anything bound by that incantation can have no basis



Quote from: Phil Potts
It also dehumanises those that might get silenced.

Well, the Gish Gallop part might, but the definition doesn't say anything about being dehumanizing or silencing either. One of the nice things about defintions of words, and facts, is that mostly they are what they are, facts being something that all parties are expected to agree on as factual in nature, i.e. no real dispute as to them as "fact".

The definition of car does not include driving from Adam Street to  Bergonia Avenue either. 


Quote from: Phil Potts
What I said about tattoos on the guy who started at 48 was an example of a full explanation, one of many I've provided. I didn't define collapse as the tattoo he talked about. I said "controlled civilizational collapse in action" and gave a full breakdown of how that works. To recap, a critical mass of conformist statists with broken spirit are essential to control. So is not using all the oil.

You certainly did have the tattoo idea wrapped up within an overarching concept, and I can see at least a sliver of it. But as I've defined collapse, it is just an irrelevant piece of information along the way, as getting a tattoo isn't of itself the dieoff that cannot be denied. As far as who is, or is not in control, that is open to debate, and your explanation did not appear to link the tattoo to this overarching theme. I don't even know what a "broken spirit" is, let alone what named group has it, or not, or that that subset has announced somewhere or gotten together and given the world the idea that it is required for control. What control? Me? You? Banks and the large institutions that have some attachment to the levers of power?

Your definition is useless except in a posthumous discussion, as I already said twice. The named group is conformist statists as I also said twice. You responded to NF saying essentially that he sees collapse as a process of preparing for a lower energy future, that is for you just doing what you do, farming and as farmgal, breaking horses untamed spirit. If you need a human example, an esteemed academic laureate with accolades out the ass, engaged in avoiding all logical and rational reasoning.

Quote from: Phil Potts
You began with talking about Maga/woke as not being real collapse, though nobody here has said anything about any of that since the new site started.

I did more than talk, I defined a real and undeniable collapse, and within my definition MAGA isn't so much as a pimple on the concept.

While you proclaim ordinary planetary developments as variously a metric or a definition, you did not BEGIN with that. You BEGAN by denouncing a pimple we never mentioned, but is the focus of the people you have said can get paid to post disinformation in line with govt narratives.


Quote from: Phil Potts
Only coincidentally, that's what alphabet agencies are focused on now. As was always said by doomers, the threat of terror and elimination turns to the domestic.

Well now you are talking about governance, and how it happens or comes off the rails. Hitler certainly used the threat of terror and elimination to run a country, as did Stalin. Worked out better for one than another. I don't believe the Swedes suffer from this though, or many other places.

You have obviously not read Sven Larrson

Quote from: Phil Potts
It couldn't be very fulfilling profiling and monitoring an innocuous equestrian like Farmgal and a barber shop quartet of harmless upstarts here. No I don't think all of us do pay the same attention to pattern recognition.

I agree that we don't have the same pattern recognition. Some of us are looking for and focused on a real collapse, the thing us doomers are keyed on, and less about the politics or groups along the way wanting to portray their understanding of the deep state, or energy, or politics, or culture, or banks as the key to something that while often claimed, always seems to sneakily receded around the next corner, each time we turn the current one.

Then there would be nothing for you to discuss. If you can't run your freezer, you can't run your router. No ice, no net. US population declines to Deagal 2025 forecast and you have something to add here only through an oija board.

What then explains your insistence that discussing HOW we arrive is verboten and that we  made wrong predictions and claims, offering no citation or example except imagined things like Tonga disappearing. I've spoken only of things coming over the horizon and now in our face, not disappearing around a corner.


Quote from: Phil Potts
2 billion people dying in a year is just some of us doing what we do and nobody disputes what you mentioned as constituting a collapse.

Exactly. I did a really good definition, to weed out real collapse from the things we pretend are collapse, or might be, or could be tomorrow if only...(fill in the blank). And we then cheapen both the word and the concept. Unfortunately.

YOUR definition is tomorrow. Anything someone else says is in the process, you need to specify the who and why you disagree. Give a full critique. 

Quote from: Phil Potts
I guess there isn't a forum for potential cannibals with modems somewhere to just wait and not say anything about how it's arrived at, hence your time spent telling us not to talk about anything except the completed process.

2 billion dying off isn't a completed process, it is just a metric. In order for that metric to happen, you, me, doomers everywhere will SEE it happening. Slowly at first probably. World population doesn't grow one year. Which means something far worse than Covid showed up. And then it gets worse, quickly. There will be no uncertainty then, because the body count will tell us all along the way.

You need to disprove us on losing access to CNN being a precursor to complete collapse, to insist we will see it from our comfy living rooms. Otherwise I in the southern hemisphere am oblivious to an asteroid or Sarmat putting a dent in another continent.


Quote from: Phil Potts
I already mentioned mass protests in the millions against being enslaved and more recently anti war, so any more in UK will not be covered by the media either.

Sounds sort of like the 60's and Vietnam? Protests aren't collapse. They are protests. And they aren't limited to enslavement, or war or economics, but even more basic things, like health care and food and education. Stopping gun violence and cheering on, or denigrating a political figure. Let us try and not confuse a pretty run of the mill, widespread and common thing with another that is more about survival, rather than preferences in elections or who is getting what slice of the pie and how.

You said a war disrupting food supply was collapse. I said DU munitions have been approved by UK for Ukr and that they poison soil.
U said UK should protest like the Boomers did. I said I've already pointed out anti war protests in the millions in Europe are ignored so more in UK would also be. I never said protests are  completed collapse. Back to the start, you have the food supply of a major donor disrupted.
 Don't waste my time jumping to anything else irrelevant to the topic, if you can never seem to remember what you were talking about.



Quote from: Phil Potts
That's my last reply as I'm sure you have better things to do and I don't like holding forth.

No problem. It was an interesting conversation. And yet for all its voluminosity, I did ask this question 5 days ago, and I'm not sure you posited an anwer.

Do you think that we'll have a collapse, a real collapse, in our lifetimes?


KD was easily able to glean where I'm coming from there and elucidated a similar sentiment. I said there is definitely a Renaissance after this dystopia which is late stage collapsing western civilization. You want to abolish looking at past civilization collapses, but the Bronze Age illustrates;

 To you and Pharoah, Egypt before the famine, pestilence and plague was wonderful, no collapse. To Moses that was already hell and 40 yrs of back to basics nomadic herding and consolidating a strong society was a liberation.




48
General Discussion / Re: Energy Errata
« Last post by RE on March 27, 2023, 12:26:08 am »
As far as Industrial Civilization is concerned, Collapse has always been inevitable.  Really Homo Sap has been on a collision course with collapse since the development of agriculture.  The only variables are the timeline and the trajectory the collapse takes.  Don't worry though, if it goes slow enough you can convince yourself it's not collapse.

RE
49
General Discussion / We are moving
« Last post by K-Dog on March 26, 2023, 10:50:13 pm »
Check it out,

https://chasingthesquirrel.com/doomstead/

RE and I are the only ones registered.  This place has served us well but we are under a corporate umbrella.  We will have more freedom at our new home.  No more **** censorship.

In the next few days I will send an email to everyone who has posted here about the move.  This is our first public announcement.  Once we have moved, RE and I will turn this pace into a notice saying where we have moved to.

It will be awesome.



50
General Discussion / Re: Energy Errata
« Last post by Phil Potts on March 26, 2023, 09:31:32 pm »
The spectrum of collapse.  I too have pondered exactly what is collapse.  Change and death are the way of the world.  A doomer has to wonder if they are a bit off.  Is it a problem that doom heads can't accept reality?

No, collapse is unwanted change and collapse is change which could be prevented.  Not accepting the unwanted is a good thing!

In the most recent interview I posted, Nate Hagens mentioned that our bodies like doing whatever it they have been doing for the last six months, be it good for us or not.  We are creatures of habit. 

Doom stalks society but only because people pretend doom is not there.  The denial habit.  If people deal with doom they prepare for the future.  We know people don't deal with doom or prepare for the future.  Preparing for the future cancels doom.  Not going to happen, but in theory doom could be prevented by rational actions.

If collapse could not be prevented it is not collapse, that circumstance is tragic fate.

All good children are taught not to look.



Denial is a product of psychology and social pressure not to defy authority should make any sane person question their sanity.  It is hard to think you can keep dry in a rainstorm.  Even harder to actually do it.

Control has great interest in maintaining denial and fighting doom.  Control wants to maintain existing arrangements and will cultivate denial of any other reality.

As I type this, the unusual attention paid to doomers by alphabet agencies makes sense.  A doomer is a threat to the status-quo.  We are harmless, but keeping track of Greta pays the bills.



The world leaders who recieved her and hung their heads in shame at her "how dare you?!" needed a reason to implement a system that saves enough fossil fuel for an ongoing apparatus of state and enough renewable energy for a poorer population. I just got back from a conference at a resort that the minimum room charge is 2500$/night. No I didn't stay there, but it's the only place so far I have seen these Porsche and Tesla chargers. As I have said, I don't think they can be for everyone currently driving any more sustainably than on oil. The guests at this place appear to make the cut. I tried to attach fotos but files too large.
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