Author Topic: Dieoff Errata  (Read 87080 times)

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I have been suspect of Population Data and estimates for quite some time, and the numbers are starting to trickle out that confirm this. There are huge incentives for local goobermints to overstate their population, because all estimates for economic growth are based on this.  Dieoff on a global basis actually probably began around a decade ago when I first questioned these estimates.

The numbers are increasing and have beccome harder to hide.  Not only China has admitted it with cancellation of the 1 child policy, the UN admits it also.

A few questions still remain of course.

* How long will it take?
* How far down will it go?
* How will the economic system adjust to shrinkage?
* How will this affect our daily lives and standard of living?
* What actions will be taken by goobermints?
* What actions will be taken by populations?

There are many other questions of course, but this is sufficient for conversation.

https://www.reuters.com/world/china/researcher-questions-chinas-population-data-says-it-may-be-lower-2021-12-03/

Researcher questions China's population data, says it may be lower

RE

So just like Australia having the same average age as china does not cause western media to report on adult diapers almost outselling baby ones, lots of benefits in payments, leave, and reduced tax don't also cause suspicion of inflated population numbers here.

As if there isn't penalty for fraud in china using a fake birth certificate to collect benefits and it would be easy to get away with. Child nurse visits? Vax record? School enrolment? Taxes when these fake people created in the last 5 yrs grow up?  Also everyone doing that remembered their fake child on census night. No mention of how many people Chu thinks have done that.

No mention of what Yi from Wisconsin bases his estimate of 100m fake people on except that ethnic minorities that did not have a 1 child policy also had fertility drop. Very negligent not to provide numbers there. 

Obviously the rest of the world doesn't have a 1 child policy either, so that means nothing if the same rising standard of living associated happened.

This article says 1 child policy was dropped in 2016, elsewhere I've seen it as 2015. China then wanted to reduce population until either 2015 or 2016.

The real question is what caused the 20% drop in fertility in the last 2 yrs, leading them to change to allowing 3.

If china is faking 100m , the rest of the world could be faking another half a billion if the same rate applies.
« Last Edit: December 04, 2021, 10:50:37 pm by Phil Potts »

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If china is faking 100m , the rest of the world could be faking another half a billion if the same rate applies.

You have to remember all population figures are estimates.  Much like Voting, records can be double counted.  In rural areas, people still do have babies at home.  The local goobermint estimates a number and sends that number to the Provincial goobermint, which then sends it to the National goobermint which then sends it to the UN.

A census is generally done every 10 years, and for this in developed countries they temporarily hire workers to go out and survey areas.  This however is still just an estimate, because not everyone gets surveyed.  I have never even filled out a census form, much less had a direct interview with a census taker.  It's a costly business to try to cross check all the records, even if they have been accurately counted.

In places like Nigeria or Libya, how accurate do you think those figures are?  China's are probably more accurate then most places, but it still behooves every level of goobermint to over estimate the numbers.

The point here is though, we know fertility rates and reproduction are dropping, most in cities in the developed world but really just about everywhere.  It would not surprise me at all if the global population of Homo Saps is overcounted by half a billion.

RE

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The declining U.S. birthrate comes as no surprise
« Reply #92 on: December 06, 2021, 12:20:33 am »
There are a lot of headlines detailing a drop in birth rates, but has anyone wondered why? MSNCB's host of American Voices, Alicia Menendez, details how
MS NOW · msnbc.com


The declining U.S. birthrate comes as no surprise

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Elon will not have enough people to sell Teslas to.  He's a Population Doomer!  lol

The tech billionaire said low and rapidly declining birth rates are "one of the biggest risks to civilization."
CNBC · cnbc.com


Elon Musk says ‘civilization is going to crumble’ if people don’t have more children

RE

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Not quite as nice as the Soylent Green Euthanasia Parlor, but getting close.

Individuals are asked a series of questions before they can press a button, which brings oxygen down to a critical level.
New York Post · nypost.com


Controversial ‘suicide pod’ that ‘kills peacefully’ gets go-ahead in Switzerland



RE

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Re: Dieoff Errata
« Reply #95 on: December 09, 2021, 11:55:37 am »
No controversy to me.  Put the inventor in and fasten the door.  With no way out after a few days he will push the button.

Then burn the machine with him inside.  Destroy all the plans and suppress all mention of the invention for all time.

Where is the controversy?  Just go Stalin on his ass.

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Re: Dieoff Errata
« Reply #96 on: December 09, 2021, 12:51:05 pm »
No controversy to me.  Put the inventor in and fasten the door.  With no way out after a few days he will push the button.

Then burn the machine with him inside.  Destroy all the plans and suppress all mention of the invention for all time.

Where is the controversy?  Just go Stalin on his ass.

You don''t think people should have the right to kill themselves as painlessly as possible?  Even terminally ill people in horrible pain?

RE

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Elon will not have enough people to sell Teslas to.  He's a Population Doomer!  lol

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/07/elon-musk-civilization-will-crumble-if-we-dont-have-more-children.html

Elon Musk says ‘civilization is going to crumble’ if people don’t have more children

RE
Does anyone know why Elon is playing the good cop now?

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Does anyone know why Elon is playing the good cop now?

One can only guess, but clearly there are three problems for Elon.

1- fewer consumers of Teslas
2- Fewer slaves to build Teslas
3- Insufficient growth in sales to pay off his unbelievably deep well of debt

RE

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Does anyone know why Elon is playing the good cop now?

One can only guess, but clearly there are three problems for Elon.

1- fewer consumers of Teslas
2- Fewer slaves to build Teslas
3- Insufficient growth in sales to pay off his unbelievably deep well of debt

RE
It's ostensibly true they want to replace gas engines with electric ones because it's easier to shut off the electricity than to cut off the gas. If you start discontinuing gas production some people will get wise to what's going on and take evasive action, but when you turn off the lights everything goes dark in an instant. So to channel Evergrande and Hemingway, you will not go bankrupt in 2 stages-first gradually then all at once-but only all at once. And with Evergrande slow as mollasses.

But I think it's more likely he wants to appear to be nice so he can insert a chip into your brain while you are caught off guard.

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Does anyone know why Elon is playing the good cop now?

One can only guess, but clearly there are three problems for Elon.

1- fewer consumers of Teslas
2- Fewer slaves to build Teslas
3- Insufficient growth in sales to pay off his unbelievably deep well of debt

RE

Tesla debt sits at about less than $12 billion. Elon could sell some shares in the company and pay it off if he wished. Market cap is 1 trillion dollars (as in..one TRILLION). So, let us say my average income from social security is $20G a year...my equivalent percentage of debt would be...$240. oh...the horror of the debt...

Ford and GM have 5X-10X Tesla's debt. And smaller market cap.

More data for everyone!!
Balancing the books is for the little people.

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Balancing the books is for the little people.

And doing data is for the analytical people.  ;D  I mean really, are we not thinking doomers, rather than propaganda swilling and spewing charlatans? Are we fact oriented, or do we just say things that aren't true and hope our doomer buddies don't call us on it? The condition of humanity in general was advanced by one crowd, the other turned into the Church, unthinkingly humming the mantra and reciting the dogma as we are ordered by the priests?
That is a lot to parse. The root of the problem is that humans use language to describe reality, but reality is also created by language.

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Balancing the books is for the little people.

And doing data is for the analytical people.  ;D  I mean really, are we not thinking doomers, rather than propaganda swilling and spewing charlatans? Are we fact oriented, or do we just say things that aren't true and hope our doomer buddies don't call us on it? The condition of humanity in general was advanced by one crowd, the other turned into the Church, unthinkingly humming the mantra and reciting the dogma as we are ordered by the priests?


We are not. Individuals may be, if they belong to some affiliation advancing an agenda. Govt is the most obvious.

Tesla posted losses for years and made a profit last year not through sales of cars, but through Bitcoin and the other auto manufacturers needing to buy % electric car credits from Tesla. Just finally turning a profit without being profitable after being built on govt handouts, apparently also funnelled into Bitcoin, was enough to see the type of religious devotees you're talking about take it's share price from the floor to the sky. The same type of devotees who would not go near a car with horrendous customer support, that had a history of bursting into flames, locked the driver inside, crashed on its own and had cheap interior plastic, if it was not a marque of being environmentally responsible.
« Last Edit: December 10, 2021, 10:28:33 pm by Phil Potts »

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Does anyone know why Elon is playing the good cop now?

One can only guess, but clearly there are three problems for Elon.

1- fewer consumers of Teslas
2- Fewer slaves to build Teslas
3- Insufficient growth in sales to pay off his unbelievably deep well of debt

RE
It's ostensibly true they want to replace gas engines with electric ones because it's easier to shut off the electricity than to cut off the gas. If you start discontinuing gas production some people will get wise to what's going on and take evasive action, but when you turn off the lights everything goes dark in an instant. So to channel Evergrande and Hemingway, you will not go bankrupt in 2 stages-first gradually then all at once-but only all at once. And with Evergrande slow as mollasses.

But I think it's more likely he wants to appear to be nice so he can insert a chip into your brain while you are caught off guard.

He's Asperger's, so has a hard time not saying what he's thinking; such as us being cyborgs without knowing it, always online, more guarded but pointed remarks about covid, and simply stating the obvious on reproduction being necessary to a species survival.

I don't think it's the same as the Henry Ford business model for the masses, the cars are too expensive. It seems he sells dreams to investors and green solutions for govts needing to meet targets more than anything. Rides on a SpaceX rocket ship is a niche market. It remains to be seen how many people will still be driving in the future, I don't think it's going to be anywhere near as many as now. Tesla will probably be well placed to supply company managers and uber drivers.

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Re: Dieoff Errata
« Reply #104 on: December 11, 2021, 12:32:20 pm »
No controversy to me.  Put the inventor in and fasten the door.  With no way out after a few days he will push the button.

Then burn the machine with him inside.  Destroy all the plans and suppress all mention of the invention for all time.

Where is the controversy?  Just go Stalin on his ass.

You don''t think people should have the right to kill themselves as painlessly as possible?  Even terminally ill people in horrible pain?

RE

Of sound mind and body is a minimum requirement.  O person clinically depressed can lie on the questionnaire.  They will be found not to be ****-up and get a code.   People who don't have their brains working right can get a code. You have been seduced by technology.  A decision like this has to be decided by humans who can weigh in on a persons mental state.  No **** software involved.

I find the inventor guilty of pre-crime and sentence him to death.



Silicone not 4me.  You know I like the real thing.  Some things have to stay human.
« Last Edit: December 11, 2021, 12:36:44 pm by K-Dog »